2026 United States Grand Prix Qualifying Recap: Antonelli Takes Pole at COTA

Kimi Antonelli delivered when it mattered at the Circuit of the Americas, securing pole position for the United States Grand Prix with a 1:34.035. Max Verstappen finished second, while Isack Hadjar completed the top three.

It was a remarkable afternoon for Antonelli, who continued to demonstrate why he’s become such a formidable force at Mercedes. His teammate George Russell, however, endured a difficult Q3 and could manage only seventh.

Q1: Leclerc Sets the Early Pace

Qualifying began with Cadillac and Aston Martin among the first teams on track.

Charles Leclerc established the early benchmark with a 1:35.200, edging Max Verstappen by just 0.015 seconds. Both drivers completed only one initial flying run, leaving room for others to improve as the session progressed.

One of the more interesting developments was the split in tire strategy. Most of the field opted for soft tires, but Oscar Piastri and both Mercedes drivers began on mediums.

Liam Lawson made excellent use of a slipstream to move into sixth on his opening run, placing himself ahead of both Mercedes drivers and Piastri. It was an impressive effort and an example of how important track positioning can be during qualifying.

Antonelli subsequently went out again on the same medium tires and produced purple sectors in the opening two portions of the lap. However, he lost time in the final sector, an area where Mercedes appeared to be struggling, finishing just 0.190 seconds away from the fastest time at that stage.

Lando Norris eventually found more pace, moving to the top of the timing sheets with a 1:35.029, 0.171 seconds ahead of Leclerc.

There was also a concerning moment in the pit lane when Fernando Alonso’s Aston Martin appeared to experience a brief fire-related issue. The situation seemingly settled without developing into a larger incident.

Q2: Leclerc Fastest as Mercedes Switch to Softs

After their unusual medium-tire approach in Q1, Mercedes switched both drivers to soft tires for Q2.

The decision removed the possibility of preserving those particular soft sets for the final session, but ensured Russell and Antonelli had the grip needed to fight for a place in Q3.

Verstappen initially led the session with a 1:34.471, followed by Norris and Antonelli.

However, the order changed during the later runs.

Leclerc finished Q2 fastest with a 1:34.198, while Antonelli climbed to second and Russell completed the top three.

It looked promising for Mercedes. Both drivers had demonstrated competitive pace, setting up what appeared to be a genuine opportunity to challenge for pole.

Another interesting tactical moment came from Gabriel Bortoleto, who was facing a reported 80-place grid penalty. Rather than concentrating solely on his own qualifying position, Bortoleto provided a slipstream for teammate Nico Hülkenberg in an effort to help his fellow driver.

Q3: Antonelli Delivers

Mercedes wasted no time in Q3, sending Russell and Antonelli onto the circuit ahead of the rest of the field.

Antonelli immediately made his intentions clear.

The young Italian produced a 1:34.035 on his opening run, moving into provisional pole ahead of Verstappen and Hadjar.

Russell, meanwhile, found himself approximately four tenths behind his teammate. That was a substantial deficit, particularly considering both drivers were competing in the same machinery.

With one final opportunity remaining, Russell needed a significant improvement.

But it never arrived.

As the final runs began, Antonelli looked capable of going even faster. He recorded purple sectors in the first two sectors before abandoning the lap. His original time was already strong enough to withstand the challenge.

Verstappen failed to improve, leaving him second, while Hadjar held onto an impressive third.

Russell also failed to improve. With Hamilton and Norris among the drivers moving ahead of him, the Mercedes driver ultimately slipped to seventh.

Antonelli had secured pole without even completing his final flying lap.

EST Takeaways

1. Antonelli Has a Chance to Clinch the World Championship

Kimi Antonelli isn’t just fighting for another race victory this weekend. He’s also in a position to potentially secure his first Formula 1 World Championship.

To clinch the title at COTA, Antonelli needs to win Sunday’s race, with George Russell finishing ninth or lower and Lewis Hamilton fifth or lower.

Taking pole position is the perfect start. Antonelli has put himself in control of the first part of that equation, while Russell’s disappointing seventh-place qualifying result adds another interesting dimension to the championship picture.

At just 20 years old, Antonelli could become the youngest world champion in Formula 1 history, breaking Sebastian Vettel’s record.

The championship isn’t guaranteed this weekend, but the opportunity is there. After such an impressive qualifying performance, Antonelli has given himself the best possible chance to make history on Sunday.

2. Russell’s P7 Is a Major Disappointment

There is no way to dress this up: seventh place was a poor result for George Russell.

Mercedes had the pace to secure pole, as Antonelli demonstrated, yet Russell finished six positions behind his teammate.

What makes the result more frustrating is that Russell had been third in Q2. The speed appeared to be there, but he couldn’t reproduce it when the pressure increased.

He also failed to improve on his final Q3 attempt while several competitors found additional time.

Russell is an accomplished driver, but qualifying sessions like this highlight the growing challenge he faces from Antonelli.

He’ll need a much stronger performance on Sunday.

3. Verstappen Remains a Serious Threat

Verstappen was competitive throughout qualifying.

He finished just 0.015 seconds behind Leclerc during the opening Q1 runs, set the early pace in Q2, and ultimately secured second on the grid.

Although he couldn’t improve on his final Q3 attempt, starting alongside Antonelli gives him an excellent opportunity to challenge for the lead into the opening corners.

Antonelli may have won Saturday, but Verstappen will be a major factor on Sunday.

4. Hadjar Deserves Recognition

While much of the attention will understandably fall on Antonelli and Verstappen, Hadjar’s third-place finish shouldn’t be overlooked.

He was already among the top three after the opening Q3 runs and successfully retained that position through the final attempts.

A front-row start narrowly escaped him, but third is an outstanding platform for the race.

5. Mercedes’ Tire Strategy Was Worth Watching

Mercedes began qualifying differently from most of the field, running mediums during Q1 while the majority used softs.

Antonelli’s competitive pace on the harder compound suggested Mercedes might attempt to save additional soft tires for Q3.

Ultimately, the team chose softs in Q2, prioritizing progression rather than taking an unnecessary gamble.

The approach worked for Antonelli, although Russell’s Q3 struggles ensured Mercedes couldn’t convert its pace into a stronger combined team result.

Final Thoughts

Saturday at COTA belonged to Kimi Antonelli.

A 1:34.035 was enough to beat Verstappen and Hadjar, and his abandoned final attempt only reinforced how comfortable he looked behind the wheel.

For Mercedes, however, the session offered two very different stories: a brilliant pole position from Antonelli and a disappointing seventh-place finish from Russell.

With Antonelli on pole and Verstappen alongside him, Sunday’s United States Grand Prix promises an intriguing battle at the front.

The pole belongs to Antonelli. Now comes the challenge of converting it into victory — and potentially a world championship.

Ethical Sports Takes | Formula 1 Coverage

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